What to expect
Our pick: Tahiti to win. Tahiti shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-2.4), and we make them about 77% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.10, which works out at about 91 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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