What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Ivory Coast and 0.7 from Cameroon, so Ivory Coast come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Ivory Coast come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Ivory Coast to win. Ivory Coast are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-0.7), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.92, which works out at about 52 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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