What to expect
Martinique host Honduras in a CONCACAF Nations League clash on 3 October. Both teams are looking to improve their standing in the competition, and the result will affect who sits higher in the table. Honduras come in as the stronger side on the numbers, while Martinique will be hoping to make the most of home advantage.
Martinique have been busy of late. They beat the Dominican Republic 2-1, then drew 0-0 with the Bahamas, and followed that with a 1-1 stalemate against Puerto Rico. Across those three games they have scored three goals and let in two. The run shows a side that can find the net but also keeps things tight at the back.
Honduras have been more prolific. They opened with a 3-0 win over Belize, then thumped Grenada 4-1, and most recently edged a 2-1 victory against Saint Lucia. In that last match they took the lead early, held on despite a late equaliser threat, and secured all three points. The three games give them seven goals for and just two against, a clear sign of attacking intent and defensive solidity.
When the two sides have met before, the games have been close affairs with both teams able to score. This meeting is likely to follow that pattern – a modest number of goals, with each side having a realistic chance of finding the net. The expected total of just over two goals fits the recent trends of both teams.
We back Honduras or a draw. The price of 1.21 is shorter than what we feel the game will be, giving us a little extra safety. Honduras have a 74 % chance of scoring and a 37 % chance of scoring twice, while Martinique’s chances sit at 63 % and 26 % respectively. If Honduras manage to keep a clean sheet or the game ends level, our pick will succeed. It would only fail if Martinique win outright or if the match ends with both sides failing to score.
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