Norway v Denmark prediction

What to expect

Norway host Denmark in a UEFA Nations League clash on 24 September 2026. Both teams sit in the middle of the table, each looking to pull away from the pack. A win for Norway would push them a few places higher, while Denmark would need the points to stay clear of the relegation zone. The numbers suggest a fairly even contest – Norway are a touch stronger, but Denmark are not far behind. Both sides have plenty of chances to score, so the game should stay open right to the final whistle.

Norway have been busy in their last few fixtures. They beat Finland 2-1, then drew 1-1 with Sweden before grinding out a 3-2 victory over Iceland. Those three games give them seven goals scored and four conceded. The run shows a side that can find the net and also keep a clean sheet on occasion. Their recent form points to a team that can create and finish, which will be useful against a side that also likes to attack.

Denmark’s recent results have been mixed. They opened with a 2-0 win over Latvia, then slipped to a 1-2 loss at home to Croatia. Their most recent game was a 3-0 defeat by Celtic, a heavy loss that left them without a goal and exposed at the back. That match highlighted defensive frailties and a lack of firepower in front of goal, but the earlier win shows they can still produce a solid performance when the pieces click.

When Norway and Denmark have met before, the games have tended to produce goals on both sides. The pattern fits the current expectations of an open encounter with chances at each end. Given the recent scores and the statistical outlook, we can anticipate a match where both teams will push forward, looking to exploit the other’s defensive lapses. It should be a lively affair with the ball moving up and down the pitch.

Our pick is Norway or Draw. The price of 1.23 is shorter than what we feel the game deserves, so we back a wider safety net that covers a Norwegian win and also protects us if the match ends level. The chance of this outcome happening sits at 73 out of 100 in our view, making it a sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result. For the pick to go wrong, Norway would have to lose outright, which would require a very strong Danish performance and a collapse from the home side. As long as Norway keep their usual scoring touch and avoid a defensive collapse, the pick should hold.