What to expect
We expect about 0.6 goals from San Marino and 2.9 from Belarus, so Belarus come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
San Marino come into this on four straight defeats. Belarus come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Belarus to win. Belarus shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.6-2.9), and we make them about 92% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 90 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.10, which works out at about 91 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
