What to expect
We expect about 3.0 goals from Spain and 0.7 from Czech Republic, so Spain come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Spain come into this on two straight wins. Czech Republic come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Spain to win. Spain are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 3.0-0.7), and we make them about 88% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 86 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.16, which works out at about 86 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
