What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Al Shorta and 0.6 from Al Naft, so Al Shorta come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 1.9 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Al Shorta or Draw. This covers Al Shorta or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 88 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.17, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Al Shorta have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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