What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Erbil and 0.8 from Al-Gharraf, so Erbil come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Erbil or Draw. This covers Erbil or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 84 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.15, which works out at about 87 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Erbil have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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