What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Diyala and 1.0 from Al Minaa, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Diyala or Draw. This covers Diyala or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Al Minaa have won one of the last four meetings, with three drawn.
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