How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Nagoya Grampus and 1.3 from Yokohama F. Marinos, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Yokohama F. Marinos come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Nagoya Grampus to score 1 or fewer. This is about Nagoya Grampus's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.65, which works out at about 61 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Nagoya Grampus have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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