What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC and 1.2 from FC Seoul, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC to win. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.2), and we make them about 40% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 39 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.85, which works out at about 35 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC are unbeaten in their last three — one win and two draws.
✓FC Seoul have won two of their last three.
