What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from FC Altai Oskemen and 1.0 from Kaisar Kyzylorda, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: FC Altai Oskemen to win. FC Altai Oskemen are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.0), and we make them about 40% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 40 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.50, which works out at about 40 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
Kaisar Kyzylorda only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. We make it about 40% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
