How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made FC Yelimay or Draw 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
FC Yelimay host Okzhetpes Kokshetau at home in the Kazakhstan Premier League on 31 October 2026. Yelimay sit sixth in the 16-team table with 45 points and a slim +2 goal difference, just one point behind fifth-placed Aktobe and four points ahead of Tobol Kostanay. Kokshetau are a more comfortable fourth, on 51 points and a +8 goal difference, two points clear of FC Astana above them and five points ahead of Aktobe below. Both clubs are still chasing a top-four finish, so the three points are valuable for each side.
Yelimay have played eight matches in their recent run, winning four, drawing one and losing three. Their latest results were a 2-2 draw away at FC Altai Oskemen, a 2-1 home win over Ulytau, a 2-1 away victory against Atyrau and a 3-1 home loss to Aktobe. Before that they beat Tobol Kostanay 2-0 away and edged Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2-1 at home. In those eight games they have scored 11 goals and let in 14, keeping only one clean sheet and failing to find the net twice. Five of the matches featured three or more goals and both sides scored in five of them, showing Yelimay can both create and concede chances.
Kokshetau come into the game on the back of six wins and two defeats in their last eight outings. Their most recent fixtures include a 3-0 home win over Kaspiy Aktau, a 1-0 home victory against FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk, a 2-0 away loss to Ulytau and a 3-1 home triumph over Zhenis. They also suffered a 2-1 away defeat to Irtysh Pavlodar before beating Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 at home. Across those eight games Kokshetau have scored 15 and conceded eight, keeping three clean sheets and being shut out once. Four of the matches produced three or more goals and both teams scored in four of them, indicating a willingness to attack while staying relatively solid at the back.
The two sides have met three times before. Yelimay have not won any of those meetings, while Kokshetau have one win and two draws. The games have averaged two goals each, and the most recent encounter on 7 March 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw. Given the recent form of both clubs – Yelimay unbeaten in their last three but inconsistent at home, and Kokshetau riding two straight wins – the fixture is likely to be open with chances for both sides, much like the previous meetings.
We back FC Yelimay or the draw at 1.71. The price is longer than our own reading of the game, but it gives us a safety net if Yelimay fail to win outright. Yelimay have an 86 % chance of scoring at least once and a 56 % chance of scoring twice, while Kokshetau have a 75 % chance of finding the net and a 39 % chance of a double. Our overall chance of the pick working is 72 %. For the bet to go wrong, Yelimay would need to be shut out and Kokshetau to win, which would require a rare defensive lapse from the home side and a clinical finish from the visitors.
Recent results
Okzhetpes Kokshetau have won one of the last three meetings, with two drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
