How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Kaspiy Aktau or Draw 65%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
Kaspiy Aktau host FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk at home in the Kazakhstan Premier League on 31 October 2026. Kaspiy sit 10th out of 16 with 33 points, two points clear of Kyzylzhar who are 11th with 31 points. Both clubs have negative goal differences – Kaspiy –11 and Kyzylzhar –9 – so the match could move either side up or down the table. A win for Kaspiy would give them a small cushion above Kyzylzhar, while a loss would see them drop back into the middle of the pack.
Kaspiy’s last eight games have been a mixed bag. They lost 3-0 away to Okzhetpes Kokshetau, then drew 2-2 away at FC Astana. A 2-1 home win over FC Altai Oskemen followed, and they beat Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1-0 away. After that they fell 2-1 at home to Aktobe and were beaten 3-0 at home by Kairat Almaty. In those eight matches they have scored nine goals and let in 13. They kept two clean sheets but also failed to score in two games. Four of the games saw both sides find the net and six had three or more goals.
Kyzylzhar’s recent form is also uneven. Their last eight fixtures include a 1-0 home win over Ulytau, a 1-0 away loss to Okzhetpes Kokshetau and a 2-0 away win at Irtysh Pavlodar. They then drew 1-1 at home with Kaisar Kyzylorda, lost 3-1 away to Zhenis and were beaten 1-0 at home by Atyrau. On the road in their last four games they have one win and three defeats. Across the eight matches they have scored six goals and conceded ten. They kept two clean sheets but have failed to score in three games. Three of those fixtures featured both teams scoring and two had three or more goals.
The two clubs have met five times before. Kyzylzhar have the edge with three wins, Kaspiy one win and one draw. Those games have produced an average of 2.8 goals. The most recent encounter on 8 March 2026 ended 2-1 to Kyzylzhar. Given the recent scores and the tendency for both sides to score, this match is likely to be another open affair with chances for each team.
We back Kaspiy Aktau or a draw. The price of 1.28 is shorter than our own reading, so it offers a good return for the safety of a double chance. Kaspiy have a 68 % chance to score and Kyzylzhar a 66 % chance, so a draw or a home win is plausible. The pick would fail if Kyzylzhar win outright, which would require them to keep a clean sheet and score twice while stopping Kaspiy from finding the net. Our chance of the pick working is about 65 %.
Recent results
FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
