How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Kazma to win 56%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.8 goals from Al-Shabab SC and 1.6 from Kazma, so Kazma come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Kazma to win. Kazma shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-1.6), and we make them about 58% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.57, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
