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Football/La Liga/Ath Bilbao v Elche
La Liga

Ath Bilbao v Elche: how it went

Ath Bilbao crestAth BilbaoLLLWW
1 - 1
Elche crestElche18th of 20 · 5 ptsDDLLL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 57%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.7 goals from Ath Bilbao and 1.2 from Elche, so Ath Bilbao come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Ath Bilbao come into this on two straight wins. Elche come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.93, which works out at about 52 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Ath Bilbao have won two of their last five.
✓Elche have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

20 Feb 2026Ath Bilbao 2 - 1 Elche
19 Oct 2025Elche 0 - 0 Ath Bilbao
28 May 2023Ath Bilbao 0 - 1 Elche
11 Sept 2022Elche 1 - 4 Ath Bilbao
3 Apr 2022Ath Bilbao 2 - 1 Elche

Ath Bilbao have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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