How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Celta to score 78%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Celta and 1.1 from Alaves, so Celta come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Celta to score. This is about Celta's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.4 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 78%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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