What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Elche and 1.4 from Celta, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 54%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.83, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Elche have not won any of their last five.
✓Celta have not won any of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
3 May 2026Celta 3 - 1 Elche
28 Sept 2025Elche 2 - 1 Celta
26 Apr 2023Celta 1 - 0 Elche
6 Jan 2023Elche 0 - 1 Celta
15 May 2022Celta 1 - 0 Elche
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