Sociedad v RC Deportivo de A Coruna prediction

What to expect

Sociedad host RC Deportivo de A Coruna at their home ground in La Liga on 11 October 2026. Sociedad sit eighth in the 20-team table with ten points from seven matches and a goal difference of minus four. Deportivo are just one place above them, level on points, while Celta Vigo sit one spot below Sociedad, two points back. Both clubs are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, so a win will move the home side up and push the visitors down the table. The numbers we have suggest Sociedad are the stronger side, with an expectation of two goals to Deportivo’s one, pointing to an open game with chances for both teams.

Sociedad’s recent form has been uneven. In their last eight matches, they have won three, drawn one and lost four. The most recent result was a 1-0 defeat to Athletic Club at home. Before that they beat Valencia 3-2 away, then lost 2-1 to AFC Bournemouth at home, suffered a 3-0 loss to Atlético Madrid at home, earned a 3-2 away win over Elche and drew 0-0 with Celta at home. Across those eight games they have scored ten goals and let in fifteen, keeping only one clean sheet while failing to find the net in three matches. Five of the games featured both sides scoring, and six had three or more goals in total.

Deportivo’s recent run is not detailed in the information we have, so we cannot describe it here. Their latest match was nine days ago, but the result is not listed, so we leave that part out.

When the two clubs have met in the past, the games have tended to produce several goals, with both sides often finding the net. Given the recent patterns of Sociedad’s matches – many games with three or more goals and both teams scoring in most of them – we expect a similar open encounter this time. The chance of Sociedad scoring at all is high at 86 %, and they have a solid chance of scoring twice or more at 57 %. Deportivo also have a decent chance to score, 61 % overall, though only a 24 % chance of scoring twice.

Our pick is a Sociedad win. The price of 1.65 matches our own reading of the game and looks good. We see Sociedad as the stronger side on the numbers, and we give them about a 58 % chance to come out on top. For this to go wrong, Deportivo would need to keep a clean sheet and score at least once, while Sociedad would have to fail to find the net or be held to a single goal. In that scenario the price would not pay off, but we think the balance is in Sociedad’s favour.