What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Espanol and 1.8 from Real Madrid, so Real Madrid come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Real Madrid come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Real Madrid or Draw. This covers Real Madrid or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 85 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.11, which works out at about 90 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Two-way cover still leaves one result that beats you, and tight games can turn on a single mistake. The price is shorter than our own read of about 85%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
