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La Liga

Ath Bilbao v Sevilla prediction

Ath Bilbao crestAth BilbaoWLLDL
v
Sevilla crestSevillaLLLWW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Ath Bilbao and 1.1 from Sevilla, so Ath Bilbao come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Sevilla come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Ath Bilbao or Draw. This covers Ath Bilbao or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.18, which works out at about 85 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Ath Bilbao have won one of their last five.
Sevilla have won two of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

24 Jan 2026Sevilla 2 - 1 Ath Bilbao
17 Aug 2025Ath Bilbao 3 - 2 Sevilla
16 Mar 2025Sevilla 0 - 1 Ath Bilbao
29 Sept 2024Ath Bilbao 1 - 1 Sevilla
19 May 2024Ath Bilbao 2 - 0 Sevilla
Ath Bilbao have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

One thing to watch

Two-way cover still leaves one result that beats you, and tight games can turn on a single mistake. The price is shorter than our own read of about 77%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

More La Liga fixtures

Full fixture list
Valencia crestValenciavCeltaCelta crest★★★★★
Valencia are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.3), and we make them about 39% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Valencia to win · 2.43Share
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