Getafe v RC Deportivo de A Coruna prediction

What to expect

Getafe host RC Deportivo de A Coruna at the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez on 13 September. Getafe sit 14th in La Liga with five points from five games and a -3 goal difference. One place above them is Levante, while Celta Vigo sit just below in 15th, only a point away. The match could move Getafe up or see them slip further down the table, while Deportivo are also fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. The two clubs are close in the standings, and the points at stake are valuable for both.

Getafe have played eight league games in total, three wins, two draws and three defeats. Their most recent results are a 1-1 draw with Celta at home, a 1-0 loss to Osasuna away, a 1-0 win over Santander at home, a 3-0 loss to Alavés away, a 1-0 win against Osasuna at home and a 1-0 loss to Elche away. In those eight matches they have scored six goals and let in seven. They have kept three clean sheets but have also failed to score in four games. At home they have been stronger, winning three and drawing one in their last four fixtures.

Deportivo’s recent form is not listed in detail, so we cannot give a game-by-game account. Their last result is the only one we can mention, and it was a 1-1 draw at home against Celta. That match shows they can find the net but also that they are capable of sharing points.

When the two sides have met before, the games have tended to be low-scoring affairs. The numbers we have point to a tight, low-scoring contest – about two goals in total, with Getafe averaging 1.2 and Deportivo 0.8. Both teams have a decent chance of scoring, but the likelihood of a clean sheet is high. Expect a cautious approach from both sides, with few chances and a strong emphasis on defence.

Our pick is that both teams will not score. The price of 1.56 looks short compared with our reading of the game, which suggests a quiet match with few goals. We think the chance of this outcome is about 58 out of 100. For the pick to go wrong, both sides would need to find the net, which would require a more open game than the recent trends suggest. If the match stays tight and one side keeps a clean sheet, the bet should pay off.