What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Malaga and 1.8 from Santander, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Santander come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.7-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 66%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Santander have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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