What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Osasuna and 1.2 from Vallecano, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Osasuna come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 53%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 53 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.86, which works out at about 54 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Osasuna have won two of their last five.
✓Vallecano have won one of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
24 Jan 2026Vallecano 1 - 3 Osasuna
14 Sept 2025Osasuna 2 - 0 Vallecano
19 Jan 2025Osasuna 1 - 1 Vallecano
16 Sept 2024Vallecano 3 - 1 Osasuna
20 Apr 2024Vallecano 2 - 1 Osasuna
