What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Valencia and 1.9 from Real Madrid, so Real Madrid come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Real Madrid come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Real Madrid to win. Real Madrid shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.9), and we make them about 67% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Real Madrid have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
