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Football/La Liga/Vallecano v Celta
La Liga

Vallecano v Celta prediction

Vallecano crestVallecano14th of 20 · 8 ptsLWLWD
v
Celta crestCelta8th of 20 · 11 ptsLWDLW

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Vallecano and 1.2 from Celta, so Vallecano come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.85, which works out at about 54 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Vallecano have won two of their last five.
✓Celta have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent results

18 Jan 2026Celta 3 - 0 Vallecano
21 Sept 2025Vallecano 1 - 1 Celta
18 May 2025Celta 1 - 2 Vallecano
10 Jan 2025Vallecano 2 - 1 Celta
31 Mar 2024Celta 0 - 0 Vallecano

Vallecano have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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More La Liga fixtures

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