How it turned out
We projected about 4.5 goals; the game finished with 3. We made RFS to win 89%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.8 goals from Ogre United and 3.8 from RFS, so RFS come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: RFS to win. RFS shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-3.8), and we make them about 91% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 89 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.11, which works out at about 90 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →