How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Bohemians to score 1 or fewer 72%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from St. Patricks and 0.9 from Bohemians, so St. Patricks come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Bohemians to score 1 or fewer. This is about Bohemians's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 72%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.
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