Barnsley v Milton Keynes Dons prediction

BarnsleyWWLLD

Milton Keynes DonsDDDDW

What to expect

We expect about 1.5 goals from Barnsley and 1.3 from Milton Keynes Dons, so Barnsley come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 62%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 62 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Barnsley have won two of their last five.

✓Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in their last five — one win and four draws.

Recent meetings

29 Apr 2023Milton Keynes Dons 4 - 4 Barnsley

19 Nov 2022Barnsley 3 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons

Barnsley have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.

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