How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 55%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Burton host Huddersfield in an EFL League One clash on 3 October 2026. Both clubs sit in the top half of the table, Burton in seventh and Huddersfield a place above them in sixth. They are level on points, each with twelve from their games so far, but Huddersfield enjoy a better goal difference at +5 compared with Burton’s +1. A win could push the visitors into the European places, while a loss would see Burton slip a spot lower, just above AFC Wimbledon. The two sides are almost identical on the numbers we have – each is expected to score about 1.3 goals, and the chance of either side finding the net is around three-quarters.
Burton’s recent form has been mixed over their last eight matches. They have won three, drawn three and lost two. The most recent results are a 1-0 win away at Plymouth, a 2-2 draw with Mansfield at home, a 3-0 defeat away to Oxford, another 2-2 draw at home to Cambridge, a 4-1 victory over AFC Wimbledon at home and a 2-1 loss away to Notts County. In those eight games Burton have scored 13 and let in 12. They kept only one clean sheet and failed to score once. Six of the games produced three or more goals and both sides scored in six of them. At home their last four fixtures have produced one win and three draws, with no defeats.
Huddersfield’s eight-game run shows a slightly stronger record. They have won four, drawn three and lost once. Their latest outings include a 2-1 loss away to Bromley, a 0-0 draw away at Mansfield, a 1-1 draw at home to Notts County, a 3-1 home win over Oxford, a 2-1 away victory at Cambridge and a 1-1 draw away at Milton Keynes Dons. Over those eight matches Huddersfield have scored 15 and conceded only six, keeping three clean sheets and being shut out once. Five of the games featured three or more goals and both sides scored in five of them. On the road they have won two, drawn two and lost one in their last five away games. Their most recent match was fourteen days ago.
The two clubs have met four times before. Burton have won two of those meetings, Huddersfield none, and the other two ended in draws. The games have averaged just over two goals, with the latest encounter on 17 January 2026 ending 3-1 to Burton. That result suggests both teams are capable of scoring, but also that Burton have had the edge in recent head-to-heads. Given the similar goal expectations and the history of both sides finding the net, we anticipate another open game with chances at both ends.
Our pick is both teams to score. The price of 1.73 matches our reading of the match. Both sides average about 1.3 goals and have shown they can score in most of their recent games. The chance we give this outcome is 55 out of 100. It would go wrong if one side manages a clean sheet, which has happened only a few times in their recent runs. If the match stays tight and one defence holds, the bet could fail, but the balance of evidence points to goals from both Burton and Huddersfield.
Recent results
Burton have won two of the last four meetings, with two drawn.
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