How it turned out
We projected about 3.5 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.4 goals from Oxford and 1.1 from Cambridge, so Oxford come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Oxford come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Cambridge to score 1 or fewer. This is about Cambridge's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.2 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Oxford have won three of the last five meetings.
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