Oxford v Stockport: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Oxford to score 80%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.5 goals from Oxford and 1.4 from Stockport, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Oxford to score. This is about Oxford's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.6 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 80%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 80 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.