How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Sheffield Weds (Draw No Bet) 81%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Sheffield Weds and 1.1 from Cambridge, so Sheffield Weds come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Sheffield Weds come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Sheffield Weds (Draw No Bet). Sheffield Weds are favoured here (xG 2.1-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Sheffield Weds defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.49, which works out at about 67 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Sheffield Weds have won three of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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