Reading v Notts County: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Notts County to score 1 or fewer 69%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.6 goals from Reading and 1.1 from Notts County, so Reading come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Reading come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Notts County to score 1 or fewer. This is about Notts County's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 69%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.