What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Stockport and 0.9 from Leicester, so Stockport come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Leicester come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This does not need a goal rush: we make it around 2.4 goals (xG 1.4-1.0), and three is enough to land it, landing about 55% of the time on these numbers.
We put the chance of that landing at about 52 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.64, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Stockport have won three of their last five.
✓Leicester have won one of their last five.
