How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Both teams to score 55%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Bristol Rovers and 1.4 from Rotherham, so Rotherham come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Bristol Rovers come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.1-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 48%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 55 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.69, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Rotherham have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
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