How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Under 3.5 goals 72%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Salford and 0.9 from Port Vale, so Salford come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.1 goals in total (xG 1.1-0.9), keeping it under more often than not (about 74%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 72 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.36, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Port Vale have won three of the last four meetings.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
