What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Chesterfield and 1.0 from Crewe, so Chesterfield come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Crewe come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Chesterfield or Draw. This covers Chesterfield or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.21, which works out at about 83 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Chesterfield have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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