What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Chesterfield and 1.1 from Colchester, so Chesterfield come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Chesterfield or Draw. This covers Chesterfield or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.23, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Colchester have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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