What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Colchester and 1.0 from Gillingham, so Colchester come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Colchester come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Gillingham to score 1 or fewer. This is about Gillingham's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.
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