What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Exeter and 1.0 from Fleetwood Town, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Fleetwood Town to score 1 or fewer. This is about Fleetwood Town's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
The last four meetings are split 1-1, with two drawn.
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