What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Fleetwood Town and 1.0 from Tranmere, so Fleetwood Town come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Tranmere to score 1 or fewer. This is about Tranmere's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Tranmere have won one of the last four meetings, with three drawn.
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