What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Grimsby and 1.0 from Rotherham, so Grimsby come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Grimsby or Draw. This covers Grimsby or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 84 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.15, which works out at about 87 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Grimsby are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Rotherham have won one of their last five.
Recent results
14 Nov 2026Wat Swindon Town · 1 - 4
8 Nov 2026Dat Stafford Rangers · 2 - 2
31 Oct 2026Wvs York · 5 - 2
24 Oct 2026Wat Gillingham · 1 - 4
20 Oct 2026Dat Rochdale · 2 - 2
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