What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Oldham and 1.0 from Accrington, so Oldham come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Oldham or Draw. This covers Oldham or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.19, which works out at about 84 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Oldham have won one of their last five.
✓Accrington have won two of their last five.
Recent meetings
2 May 2026Oldham 3 - 0 Accrington
29 Nov 2025Accrington 1 - 0 Oldham
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