What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Swindon and 1.1 from Crewe, so Swindon come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Swindon or Draw. This covers Swindon or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.45, which works out at about 69 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Swindon have not won any of their last five.
✓Crewe are unbeaten in their last five — one win and four draws.
✓Three of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
21 Feb 2026Swindon 1 - 2 Crewe
30 Aug 2025Crewe 0 - 3 Swindon
11 Jan 2025Swindon 0 - 0 Crewe
24 Aug 2024Crewe 0 - 0 Swindon
13 Jan 2024Crewe 2 - 1 Swindon
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