What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Oldham and 1.0 from Exeter, so Oldham come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Oldham come into this on two straight defeats. Exeter come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Exeter Under 1.5. This is about Exeter's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.33, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Exeter have won two of the last two meetings.
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