What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Port Vale and 1.0 from Accrington, so Port Vale come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Port Vale or Draw. This covers Port Vale or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.23, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last four meetings are split 1-1, with two drawn.
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