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Football/EFL League Two/Swindon v Cheltenham
EFL League Two · The Nigel Eady County Ground

Swindon v Cheltenham: how it went

Swindon crestSwindonLDLLD
2 - 1
Cheltenham crestCheltenhamWLLLW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 3.1 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 56%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.0 goals from Swindon and 1.2 from Cheltenham, so Swindon come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.0-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.72, which works out at about 58 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Swindon have not won any of their last five.
✓Cheltenham have won two of their last five.
✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

29 Dec 2025Cheltenham 0 - 2 Swindon
9 Dec 2025Swindon 0 - 1 Cheltenham
15 Mar 2025Swindon 3 - 3 Cheltenham
12 Oct 2024Cheltenham 2 - 3 Swindon
Swindon have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.

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