How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Swindon or Draw 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Swindon and 1.3 from Rotherham, so Swindon come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Rotherham come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Swindon or Draw. This covers Swindon or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
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