How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Tranmere or Draw 69%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Tranmere and 1.1 from Cheltenham, so Tranmere come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Cheltenham come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Tranmere or Draw. This covers Tranmere or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Tranmere have won three of the last four meetings.
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